Probability Weightage: 4–5 Marks 14 Questions Active (2026 + 2026 Imp + 2025 + 2024 + 2023 + 2020 + 2019 + 2018 + 2017)

24. Probability Previous Year Questions

Core Formula: P(E) = n(E) / n(S), 0 ≤ P(E) ≤ 1, P(E) + P(not E) = 1

CISCE Examiner Observation & Common Deduction Pitfall

Always reduce probability fractions to lowest terms (e.g. 6/52 = 3/26). Probability can never exceed 1 or be negative.

ICSE 2026 Board Q1 Multiple Choice Question
1 Mark
A card is drawn from a well-shuffled pack of 52 playing cards. The probability that the card drawn is a face card of black suit is:
(a) 3/26
(b) 3/13
(c) 1/13
(d) 6/52
View Verified Solution & Marking
Correct Option: (a) 3/26
Calculation Total cards n(S) = 52.
Face cards = 12 (4 Kings, 4 Queens, 4 Jacks).
Black face cards (Spades + Clubs) = 3 + 3 = 6.
P(Black face card) = 6 / 52 = 3 / 26.
ICSE 2026 Board Q2 Card Probability Problem
3 Marks
A survey was conducted on 300 families having 2 children each. The results obtained are:
2 girls (95 families), 1 girl (165 families), 0 girls (40 families).
If one family is selected at random, find the probability that it will have:
(a) one girl child.
(b) one or more girl child.
(c) no boy child.
View Verified Solution & Marking
Sample Space Total families n(S) = 300.

Part (a) One girl n(E₁) = 165.
P(1 girl) = 165 / 300 = 11 / 20 (0.55). [1 Mark]

Part (b) One or more girls Families with 1 or 2 girls = 165 + 95 = 260.
P(≥ 1 girl) = 260 / 300 = 13 / 15 (≈ 0.867). [1 Mark]

Part (c) No boy child "No boy" means both children are girls (2 girls).
n(E₃) = 95.
P(no boy) = 95 / 300 = 19 / 60 (≈ 0.317). [1 Mark]
ICSE 2025 Board Q3 Multiple Choice Question
1 Mark
Which of the following cannot be the probability of any event?
(a) 5/4
(b) 0.25
(c) 1/33
(d) 67%
View Verified Solution & Marking
For any event E, 0 ≤ P(E) ≤ 1. Here 5/4 = 1.25 > 1, which cannot be a probability. [1 Mark]
ICSE 2025 Board Q4 Probability: Number Cards 01 to 30
3 Marks
Box contains cards numbered 01 to 30. Find probability of winning: (a) Wall Clock (perfect square), (b) Water Bottle (even number which is multiple of 3), (c) Purse (prime number).
View Verified Solution & Marking
Total outcomes n(S) = 30.
(a) Perfect squares {1, 4, 9, 16, 25} (5 numbers): P = 5/30 = 1/6. [1 Mark]
(b) Even multiples of 3 {6, 12, 18, 24, 30} (5 numbers): P = 5/30 = 1/6. [1 Mark]
(c) Prime numbers {2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13, 17, 19, 23, 29} (10 numbers): P = 10/30 = 1/3. [1 Mark]
ICSE 2024 Board Q5 Multiple Choice Question
1 Mark
Assertion (A): A die is thrown once and the probability of getting an even number is 2/3.
Reason (R): The sample space for even numbers on a die is {2, 4, 6}.
(a) A is true, R is false.
(b) A is false, R is true.
(c) Both A and R are true.
(d) Both A and R are false.
View Verified Solution & Marking
Correct Option: (b) A is false, R is true.
P(even) = 3/6 = 1/2 ≠ 2/3 (Assertion false). Even numbers = {2, 4, 6} (Reason true). [1 Mark]
ICSE 2024 Board Q6 Probability • Letter Cards
3 Marks
Cards with letters A, D, M, N, O, S, U, Y. One card drawn. Probability of drawing a letter:
(a) of word MONDAY?
(b) which does not appear in MONDAY?
(c) appearing in both SUNDAY and MONDAY?
View Verified Solution & Marking
Total letters n(S) = 8.
(a) Letters {A, D, M, N, O, Y} ⇒ 6/8 = 3/4. [1 Mark]
(b) Letters {S, U} ⇒ 2/8 = 1/2. [1 Mark]
(c) Letters in both SUNDAY and MONDAY = {A, D, N, Y} ⇒ 4/8 = 1/2. [1 Mark]
ICSE 2023 Board Q7 Multiple Choice Question
1 Mark
A letter is chosen at random from all the letters of the English alphabets. The probability that the letter chosen is a vowel, is:
(a) 4/26
(b) 5/26
(c) 21/26
(d) 5/24
View Verified Solution & Marking
Total number of letters in English alphabet $n(S) = 26$.
Vowels are $\{A, E, I, O, U\}$, so favorable outcomes $n(E) = 5$.
Probability $P(E) = \frac{n(E)}{n(S)} = \frac{5}{26}$. Correct Option: (b) [1 Mark]
ICSE 2023 Board Q8 Probability: Cards Numbered 1 to 25
3 Marks
A bag contains 25 cards, numbered through 1 to 25. A card is drawn at random. What is the probability that the number on the card drawn is:
  1. multiple of 5
  2. a perfect square
  3. a prime number?
View Verified Solution & Marking
Sample space $S = \{1, 2, 3, \dots, 25\} \implies n(S) = 25$.

(a) Multiple of 5 $E_1 = \{5, 10, 15, 20, 25\} \implies n(E_1) = 5$.
$P(E_1) = \frac{5}{25} = \mathbf{\frac{1}{5}}$.1 Mark

(b) Perfect Square $E_2 = \{1, 4, 9, 16, 25\} \implies n(E_2) = 5$.
$P(E_2) = \frac{5}{25} = \mathbf{\frac{1}{5}}$.1 Mark

(c) Prime Number $E_3 = \{2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13, 17, 19, 23\} \implies n(E_3) = 9$.
$P(E_3) = \mathbf{\frac{9}{25}}$.1 Mark
ICSE 2020 Board Q9 Theoretical Probability (Letters in Word 'AUTHORIZES')
3 Marks
Each of the letters of the word ‘AUTHORIZES’ is written on identical circular discs and put in a bag. They are well shuffled. If a disc is drawn at random from the bag, what is the probability that the letter is:
(i) a vowel
(ii) one of the first 9 letters of the English alphabet which appears in the given word
(iii) one of the last 9 letters of the English alphabet which appears in the given word?
View Verified Solution & Marking
Total letters in ‘AUTHORIZES’ $= 10$. Total outcomes $n(S) = 10$.
(i) Vowels in ‘AUTHORIZES’ are: A, U, O, I, E $\implies n(E_1) = 5$.
$P(\text{vowel}) = \frac{5}{10} = \mathbf{\frac{1}{2}}$ (or $0.5$). [1 Mark]
(ii) First 9 letters of English alphabet: {A, B, C, D, E, F, G, H, I}.
Letters in word from this set: A, H, I, E $\implies n(E_2) = 4$.
$P = \frac{4}{10} = \mathbf{\frac{2}{5}}$ (or $0.4$). [1 Mark]
(iii) Last 9 letters of English alphabet (18th to 26th): {R, S, T, U, V, W, X, Y, Z}.
Letters in word from this set: U, T, R, Z, S $\implies n(E_3) = 5$.
$P = \frac{5}{10} = \mathbf{\frac{1}{2}}$ (or $0.5$). [1 Mark]
ICSE 2019 Board Q10 Theoretical Probability: Discs Numbered 1 to 25
3 Marks
There are 25 discs numbered 1 to 25. They are put in a closed box and shaken thoroughly. A disc is drawn at random from the box. Find the probability that the number on the disc is:
  1. an odd number
  2. divisible by 2 and 3 both.
  3. a number less than 16.
View Verified Solution & Marking
Step 1 Sample space $S = \{1, 2, 3, \dots, 25\} \implies n(S) = 25$.
(i) Event $A$ (odd numbers) = $\{1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13, 15, 17, 19, 21, 23, 25\} \implies n(A) = 13$.
$\mathbf{P(A) = \frac{13}{25}}$. [1 Mark]
Step 2 (ii) Event $B$ (divisible by 2 and 3 both $\implies$ divisible by $\text{LCM}(2, 3) = 6$):
$B = \{6, 12, 18, 24\} \implies n(B) = 4$.
$\mathbf{P(B) = \frac{4}{25}}$. [1 Mark]
Step 3 (iii) Event $C$ (numbers less than 16):
$C = \{1, 2, 3, \dots, 15\} \implies n(C) = 15$.
$\mathbf{P(C) = \frac{15}{25} = \frac{3}{5}}$. [1 Mark]
ICSE 2026 Imp Q11 Multiple Choice Question
1 Mark
Assertion (A): The probability of the Sun rising from the west is 0.
Reason (R): The probability of an impossible event is always 0.
(a) (A) is true, (R) is false.
(b) (A) is false, (R) is true.
(c) Both (A) and (R) are true and (R) is the correct explanation of (A).
(d) Both (A) and (R) are true but (R) is not the correct explanation of (A).
View Verified Solution & Marking
Solution The Sun rising in the west is an impossible physical event, and since $P(\phi) = 0$, (R) directly explains (A).
Correct Answer: (c) Both (A) and (R) are true and (R) is the correct explanation of (A). [1 Mark]
ICSE 2026 Imp Q12 Probability: Word 'BINOCULARS' Letter Selection
3 Marks
Each of the letters of the word 'BINOCULARS' is written on identical cards and put in a bag. They are well shuffled. If a card is drawn at random from the bag, find the probability that the letter is:
  1. a vowel
  2. one of the first 8 letters of the English alphabet which appears in the given word.
(Support your working with at least one sample space)
View Verified Solution & Marking
Step 1 Sample Space:
$S = \{\text{'B'}, \text{'I'}, \text{'N'}, \text{'O'}, \text{'C'}, \text{'U'}, \text{'L'}, \text{'A'}, \text{'R'}, \text{'S'}\} \implies n(S) = 10$. [1 Mark]
Step 2 (a) Event $E_1$ (vowels in the word):
$E_1 = \{\text{'I'}, \text{'O'}, \text{'U'}, \text{'A'}\} \implies n(E_1) = 4$.
$\mathbf{P(E_1) = \frac{4}{10} = \frac{2}{5}}$. [1 Mark]
Step 3 (b) Event $E_2$ (first 8 letters of English alphabet $\{A, B, C, D, E, F, G, H\}$ present in word):
$E_2 = \{\text{'B'}, \text{'C'}, \text{'A'}\} \implies n(E_2) = 3$.
$\mathbf{P(E_2) = \frac{3}{10}}$. [1 Mark]
ICSE 2018 Board Q13 Probability of Numbered Cards
4 Marks
Cards bearing numbers 2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12, 14, 16, 18 and 20 are kept in a bag. A card is drawn at random from the bag. Find the probability of getting a card which is:
(i) a prime number.
(ii) a number divisible by 4.
(iii) a number that is a multiple of 6.
(iv) an odd number.
View Verified Solution & Marking
Sample Space $S = \{2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12, 14, 16, 18, 20\} \implies n(S) = 10$.
(i) Prime number: The only prime in the set is $2$.
Favourable outcomes: $\{2\} \implies n(E_1) = 1$.
$$P(\text{prime}) = \frac{n(E_1)}{n(S)} = \mathbf{\frac{1}{10}}$$ [1 Mark]
(ii) Number divisible by 4:
Favourable outcomes: $\{4, 8, 12, 16, 20\} \implies n(E_2) = 5$.
$$P(\text{divisible by 4}) = \frac{5}{10} = \mathbf{\frac{1}{2}}$$ [1 Mark]
(iii) Number that is a multiple of 6:
Favourable outcomes: $\{6, 12, 18\} \implies n(E_3) = 3$.
$$P(\text{multiple of 6}) = \mathbf{\frac{3}{10}}$$ [1 Mark]
(iv) An odd number:
All numbers in the bag are even $\{2, 4, \dots, 20\}$, so there are no odd numbers.
Favourable outcomes: $\emptyset \implies n(E_4) = 0$.
$$P(\text{odd number}) = \frac{0}{10} = \mathbf{0}$$ [1 Mark]
Answers: (i) $\frac{1}{10}$, (ii) $\frac{1}{2}$, (iii) $\frac{3}{10}$, (iv) $0$.
ICSE 2017 Board Q14 Probability with Letter Cards
3 Marks
Sixteen cards are labelled as $a,b,c\dots m,n,o,p$. They are put in a box and shuffled. A boy is asked to draw a card from the box. What is the probability that the card drawn is:
(i) a vowel.
(ii) a consonant.
(iii) none of the letters of the word median.
View Verified Solution & Marking
Sample Space $S = \{a, b, c, d, e, f, g, h, i, j, k, l, m, n, o, p\}$, $n(S) = 16$.
(i) Vowel Vowels in $S$: $\{a, e, i, o\} \implies 4$ outcomes.
$$P(\text{vowel}) = \frac{4}{16} = \mathbf{\frac{1}{4}}$$ [1 Mark]
(ii) Consonant Consonants in $S$: $16 - 4 = 12$ outcomes.
$$P(\text{consonant}) = \frac{12}{16} = \mathbf{\frac{3}{4}}$$ [1 Mark]
(iii) None of letters in 'median' Letters $\{m, e, d, i, a, n\} = 6$ cards.
Cards containing none of these letters $= 16 - 6 = 10$.
$$P(\text{none of the letters of median}) = \frac{10}{16} = \mathbf{\frac{5}{8}}$$ [1 Mark]
Answers: (i) $\frac{1}{4}$, (ii) $\frac{3}{4}$, (iii) $\frac{5}{8}$.

Archive Expansion Slot • 2014–2025 PYQs

Questions from 2025 Specimen, 2024, 2023, 2022 Sem-1/2, and 2020–2014 board exams for Chapter 24 are being indexed into this collection.